We created the concept of the "microcovid" as a new quantitative unit for risk. One microCOVID is a one-in-a-million chance of getting COVID-19. An activity that’s 20,000 microCOVIDs means that you have a 2% risk of getting COVID every time you do it. An activity that’s 20 microCOVIDs (or 0.002%) is relatively safe, as you could do it every week for a year and still have only accumulated about a 0.1% chance of getting COVID. https://www.microcovid.org/ (more)
see Vaccination
Scott Alexander on Bounded Distrust. (Deciding what you can believe from an untrustworthy source.) (more)
Gordon Brander: Block reference mechanisms. Writing is linear, serial, and one side-effect of communicating serially is that you have to force ideas into some sort of order. (more)
Ben Goldhaber: First, do no harm - how the FDA crippled America's response to COVID-19. This is a partial account of how the FDA and the medical establishment failed America in fighting COVID-19, and how the inherent structure of the FDA made the pandemic worse. They prevented individuals and companies from creating and providing timely drugs and tests to combat COVID-19, contributing to the deaths of hundreds of thousands of Americans and trillions of dollars of lost economic output. (more)
Steven Johnson: We Need A Standard Unit Of Measure For Risk. “The average weekly chance that a boosted person died of Covid was about one in a million during October and November… That risk is not zero, but it is not far from it. The chance that an average American will die in a car crash this week is significantly higher—about 2.4 per million.” There was a flurry of controversy last week about David Leonhardt’s “The Morning” newsletter in the Times (more)
Scott Alexander: There's A Time For Everyone. Last week I got married. I met her two years ago. (more)
Matt Webb: Risk: micromorts, microCOVIDs, and skydiving. I find these kind of calculators useful to educate my intuition. (more)
Ukraine is a country in Eastern Europe.[8] Ukraine borders Russia to the east and northeast, Belarus to the northwest, Poland, Slovakia and Hungary to the west, Romania and Moldova to the southwest, and the Black Sea and Sea of Azov to the south and southeast, respectively. It has an area of 603,628 km2 (233,062 sq mi), making it the largest country entirely within Europe, after Russia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ukraine
The simplest workspace for decentralized teams Easily plan projects, track tasks, and stay organized with a single collaborative workspace that combines freeform documents with structured project management. https://www.clarity.so/ (web3 collaborationware, software forge) (more)
product manager, expertise researcher (more)
I'm researching ways to give people more agency in computing, so they can compose, tweak, and even build their own tools. I'm currently a Computer Science PhD student at MIT in the Software Design Group, and I also collaborate with the Ink and Switch industrial research lab. Before that, I spent five years as an early engineer/designer at Panorama Education (YC S13). https://www.geoffreylitt.com/ (more)
Phillip J. Windley, Ph.D. s a Principal Engineeer and leads Enablement Engineering in the Office of Information Technology at Brigham Young University where he is responsible for developing university technology strategies and leading efforts to achieve them. Dr. Windley also directs a laboratory, Pico Labs, of full time and student researchers at BYU. Pico Labs creates Internet of Things technology aimed at creating connected devices that are as distributed and decentralized as possible. Pico Labs is responsible for Picos, an actor-based programming system that supports people-centric, reactive programming on the Internet of Things. http://phil.windley.org/ (more)
Jon Udell has been writing about the Personal Cloud (Personal Server) idea for the last 6mo. (more)
Phil Windley Internet Of Things Start Up, 2012-2014 (more)
orig: Contributions to a source code repository that uses a distributed version control system (DVCS) are commonly made by means of a pull request, also known as a merge request.[9] The contributor requests that the project maintainer pull the source code change, hence the name "pull request". The maintainer has to merge the pull request if the contribution should become part of the source base. (more)
David Masters: Are Pull Requests Holding Back Your Team? Pull requests are great for open source. But they can hinder the team performance. (more)
This is the publicly-readable WikiLog Digital Garden (20k pages, starting from 2002) of Bill Seitz (a Product Manager and CTO). (You can get your own pair of garden/note-taking spaces from FluxGarden.)
My Calling: Reality Hacking to accelerate Evolution by increasing Freedom, Agency, and Leverage of Free Agents and smaller groups (SmallWorld) via D And D of Thinking Tools (software and Games To Play).
See Intro Page for space-related goals, status, etc.; or Wiki Node for more terse summary info.
Beware the War On The Net!
Current:
- head of product for an early-stage boot-strapped company
- founder FluxGarden for Digital Garden hosting
- wrote Hack Your Life With A Private Wiki Notebook Getting Things Done And Other Systems ASIN:B00HHJA5JS
My Coding for fun.
Past:
- Director Product Managment, NCSA Sports
- CTO/Product Manager at a series of startups: MedScape, then Axiom Legal, then Living Independently, then DailyLit, then AEP...
- founded Family Financial Future, personal-financial-planning nagware for parents
- consulting
- founded Teamflux.com, a hosting service for wiki-based collaboration spaces.
- founded Wikilogs.com, a hosting service for WikiLog-s (wiki-based weblogs).
Agile Product Development, Product Management from MVP to Product-Market Fit, Adding Product To Your Startup Team, Agility, Context, and Team Agency, (2022-10-12) Accidental Learnings of a Journeyman Product Manager
Oligarchy; Big Levers, Theory of Change, Change the World, (2020-06-27) Ways To Nudge Future; Network Enlightenment, Optimistic Near Future Vision; Huge Invention; Alternatives To A College Degree; Credit Crisis 2008; Economic Transition; Network Economy; Making A Living; Varieties Of Info Technology Jobs; Generative Schooling; Product Oriented Unschooling; Reality Hacker; A 20th Century Economic Theory
FluxGarden; Network Enlightenment Ecosystem; ThinkingTools Interaction as Medium; Hypermedia Pattern Language; Everyone Needs Their Own ThinkingSpace; Digital Garden; Virtual ThinkingSpace; Thinking Tools Companies; Webs Of Thinkers And Thoughts; My CollaborationWare History; Wiki Proliferation; Portal Collaboration Roadmap; Wiki For GroupWare, Overlapping Scopes Of Collaboration, Email Discussion Beside Wiki, Wiki For CollaborationWare, Collaboration Roadmap; Sister Sites; Wiki Hack
Personal Cloud; 2018-11-29-NextOpenInfrastructure, 2018-11-15-BooksVsTweets; Stream/Flow Vs Garden/Stock
Social Warrens; Culture War; 2017-02-15-MindmapCultureWarSocialMediaEconomy; Cultural Pluralism
Fractally Generative Pattern Language, Small Tribe, SimplestThing, Becoming A Reality Hacker, Less-Bullshit Living, The Craft; Games To Play; Evolution, Hack Your Life With A Private Wiki Notebook, Getting Things Done, And Other Systems
Digital Therapeutics, (2021-05-26) Pondering a Mental Health space, CoachBot; Inside-Out Markov Chain